Gimnastic Tarragona 5-1 Ponferradina — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.52
Over 2.5
44%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.03
No
50%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.23
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
19%
5.02
6+ Goals
9%
31.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
10%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.2pp
33%
Away Win
30%
+2.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
62%
-5.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
38%
+5.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
45%
+5.0pp
50%
BTTS No
55%
-5.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 34%
+9% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
1.15/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.07/0.72
-8% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +59%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
305 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 9.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Ponferradina
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
386 Passes 246
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
3 Yellow Cards 4
08.12.2024 Ponferradina Ponferradina 2-0 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
31.03.2024 Ponferradina Ponferradina 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
07.10.2023 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 0-0 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
13.03.2016 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 1-1 HT 0-1 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS2
10.10.2015 Ponferradina Ponferradina 2-2 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS2
04.06.2011 Ponferradina Ponferradina 1-1 HT 1-1 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gimnastic Tarragona
5-1
AWAY Ponferradina
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gimnastic Tarragona vs Ponferradina
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastic Tarragona swept aside Ponferradina 5-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (38% / 29% / 33%) promised a tight game; Gimnastic Tarragona found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Gimnastic Tarragona had 50% of the ball to Ponferradina's 50%, shots finished 15-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Gimnastic Tarragona and 1.00 for Ponferradina.

What was the final score of Gimnastic Tarragona vs Ponferradina?

Gimnastic Tarragona 5-1 Ponferradina in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimnastic Tarragona vs Ponferradina?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimnastic Tarragona win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gimnastic Tarragona 38%, draw 29%, Ponferradina 33%. The final score 5-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimnastic Tarragona) ✗ Under 2.5
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