Ponferradina 2-0 Gimnastic Tarragona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.0
Draw
33%
3.04
Away
27%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.51
Over 2.5
48%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.13
No
44%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2.23
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
5.27
6+ Goals
10%
33.5
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 5.27 — our 24% vs market 13.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
46%
-5.5pp
33%
Draw
29%
+4.1pp
27%
Away Win
25%
+1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
62%
-10.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
38%
+10.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
43%
+13.3pp
44%
BTTS No
57%
-13.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ponferradina EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 29%
-3% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / +9%
1.23/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.28
-11% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / -2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 253 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
18.0 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ponferradina
0W-5D-1L
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
246 Passes 386
68% Pass Accuracy 80%
4 Yellow Cards 2
31.03.2024 Ponferradina Ponferradina 0-1 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
07.10.2023 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 0-0 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS3
13.03.2016 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 1-1 HT 0-1 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS2
10.10.2015 Ponferradina Ponferradina 2-2 HT 0-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS2
04.06.2011 Ponferradina Ponferradina 1-1 HT 1-1 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS2
23.01.2011 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 0-0 HT 0-0 Ponferradina Ponferradina İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ponferradina
2-0
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Ponferradina vs Gimnastic Tarragona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ponferradina saw off Gimnastic Tarragona 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 33% / 27% — and on the day Ponferradina made the difference. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ponferradina had 43% of the ball to Gimnastic Tarragona's 57%, shots finished 9-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimnastic Tarragona led the recent series with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Ponferradina and 0.83 for Gimnastic Tarragona.

What was the final score of Ponferradina vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Ponferradina 2-0 Gimnastic Tarragona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ponferradina vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ponferradina win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Ponferradina 40%, draw 33%, Gimnastic Tarragona 27%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ponferradina), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ponferradina) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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