Barcelona II 2-2 Celta Vigo II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
34%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.9
Over 2.5
47%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.37
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.38
6+ Goals
11%
12.8
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.37 — our 27% vs market 23.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-3.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
30%
+3.9pp
53%
Under 2.5
49%
+4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
51%
-4.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-4.9pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Barcelona II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Celta Vigo II EU Bookmakers 34%
+6% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +4%
1.78/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/0.91
+43% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +37% / +24%
54% Ball Possession 46%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
407 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Barcelona II
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Celta Vigo II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
63% Ball Possession 37%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
01.10.2023 Barcelona II Barcelona II 1-1 HT 1-1 Celta Vigo II Celta Vigo II İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Barcelona II
2-2
AWAY Celta Vigo II
58% Ball Possession 42%
7 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Barcelona II vs Celta Vigo II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Barcelona II and Celta Vigo II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Barcelona II had 58% of the ball to Celta Vigo II's 42%, shots finished 7-8.

What was the final score of Barcelona II vs Celta Vigo II?

Barcelona II 2-2 Celta Vigo II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Barcelona II vs Celta Vigo II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Barcelona II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Barcelona II 38%, draw 28%, Celta Vigo II 34%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Barcelona II), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Barcelona II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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