Sestao River 2-1 Arenteiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.47
Draw
26%
2.88
Away
36%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.48
Over 2.5
40%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.13
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
18%
5.61
6+ Goals
8%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
14%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
31%
-4.9pp
36%
Away Win
32%
+4.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
64%
-4.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
36%
+4.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.9pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestao River EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Arenteiro EU Bookmakers 36%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
1.07/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.47/0.54
-7% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +111%
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
269 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.0 Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestao River
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Arenteiro
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
44% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 Sestao River Sestao River 1-0 HT 1-0 Arenteiro Arenteiro İS3
15.10.2023 Arenteiro Arenteiro 1-0 HT 0-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestao River
2-1
AWAY Arenteiro
46% Ball Possession 54%
6 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sestao River vs Arenteiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sestao River edged past Arenteiro 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Sestao River found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sestao River had 46% of the ball to Arenteiro's 54%, shots finished 6-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sestao River and 0.50 for Arenteiro.

What was the final score of Sestao River vs Arenteiro?

Sestao River 2-1 Arenteiro in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestao River vs Arenteiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sestao River win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Sestao River 37%, draw 26%, Arenteiro 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sestao River) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sestao River) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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