Sestao River 1-0 Arenteiro — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.9
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
30%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.51
Over 2.5
38%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.19
No
58%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
17%
5.59
6+ Goals
9%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-6.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+6.3pp
62%
Under 2.5
62%
-0.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
38%
+0.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.1pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestao River EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Arenteiro EU Bookmakers 27%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
0.65/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.74/1.51
-57% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -22% / -18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
566 · 88% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestao River
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Arenteiro
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
39% Ball Possession 61%
4 Total Shots 10
0 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
15.10.2023 Arenteiro Arenteiro 1-0 HT 0-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestao River
1-0
AWAY Arenteiro
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Sestao River vs Arenteiro
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sestao River edged past Arenteiro 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Sestao River as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Sestao River had 50% of the ball to Arenteiro's 50%, shots finished 8-8.

What was the final score of Sestao River vs Arenteiro?

Sestao River 1-0 Arenteiro in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestao River vs Arenteiro?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sestao River win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Sestao River 42%, draw 28%, Arenteiro 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sestao River), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sestao River) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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