Sabadell 1-1 Rayo Majadahonda — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.82
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.59
Over 2.5
39%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.44
2-3 Goals
41%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.83
6+ Goals
7%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
51%
-5.9pp
31%
Draw
26%
+4.9pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.3pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.3pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.8pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sabadell EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda EU Bookmakers 26%
-3% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +0%
1.24/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.34
-19% / +37% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -8%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
320 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sabadell
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 1
14.10.2023 Rayo Majadahonda Rayo Majadahonda 3-1 HT 1-1 Sabadell Sabadell İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sabadell
1-1
AWAY Rayo Majadahonda
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sabadell vs Rayo Majadahonda
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sabadell and Rayo Majadahonda shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Sabadell at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (61%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Sabadell had 50% of the ball to Rayo Majadahonda's 50%, shots finished 12-17.

What was the final score of Sabadell vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Sabadell 1-1 Rayo Majadahonda in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sabadell vs Rayo Majadahonda?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sabadell win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Sabadell 45%, draw 31%, Rayo Majadahonda 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Sabadell), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sabadell) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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