Real Sociedad II 0-2 Gimnastic Tarragona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 4 Feb 2024

📅04/02/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.67
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
35%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.45
Over 2.5
36%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.13
No
60%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.12
2-3 Goals
39%
1.8
4-5 Goals
17%
5.9
6+ Goals
8%
34.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
34%
+2.5pp
29%
Draw
31%
-2.3pp
35%
Away Win
36%
-0.2pp
64%
Under 2.5
65%
-1.2pp
36%
Over 2.5
35%
+1.2pp
40%
BTTS Yes
43%
-2.6pp
60%
BTTS No
57%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona EU Bookmakers 39%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +4%
1.38/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.76/0.89
+23% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -32% / +21%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
371 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Real Sociedad II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.55 xG 1.31
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
277 Passes 339
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
16 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.10.2023 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 2-2 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
05.03.2023 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona 2-0 HT 1-0 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
15.10.2022 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 2-0 HT 1-0 Gimnastic Tarragona Gimnastic Tarragona İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Real Sociedad II
0-2
AWAY Gimnastic Tarragona
0.45 xG 0.64
63% Ball Possession 37%
11 Total Shots 8
2 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
438 Passes 209
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
25 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Real Sociedad II vs Gimnastic Tarragona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimnastic Tarragona got the better of Real Sociedad II 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (36% / 29% / 35%) promised a tight game; Gimnastic Tarragona found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Real Sociedad II had 63% of the ball to Gimnastic Tarragona's 37%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 0.45 to 0.64.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Real Sociedad II and 1.33 for Gimnastic Tarragona.

What was the final score of Real Sociedad II vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Real Sociedad II 0-2 Gimnastic Tarragona in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 04/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Real Sociedad II vs Gimnastic Tarragona?

Before kick-off our model rated a Real Sociedad II win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Real Sociedad II 36%, draw 29%, Gimnastic Tarragona 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Real Sociedad II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Real Sociedad II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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