Villarreal II 1-1 Marbella — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.64
Over 2.5
48%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.99
No
54%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.59
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
25%
4.35
6+ Goals
8%
22.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
9%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
50%
+0.2pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.3pp
52%
Under 2.5
57%
-5.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
43%
+5.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.2pp
54%
BTTS No
54%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Villarreal II EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Marbella EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -8%
1.88/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.64
+27% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
368 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Villarreal II
1-1
AWAY Marbella
58% Ball Possession 42%
14 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Villarreal II vs Marbella
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Villarreal II and Marbella shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Villarreal II at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Villarreal II had 58% of the ball to Marbella's 42%, shots finished 14-13.

What was the final score of Villarreal II vs Marbella?

Villarreal II 1-1 Marbella in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Villarreal II vs Marbella?

Before kick-off our model rated a Villarreal II win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Villarreal II 50%, draw 26%, Marbella 24%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Villarreal II), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Villarreal II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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