Ceuta 3-1 UD Ibiza — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
32%
3.18
Away
29%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.59
Over 2.5
35%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
37%
2.39
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
16%
4.79
6+ Goals
7%
28.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.39 — our 37% vs market 34.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
44%
-5.0pp
32%
Draw
28%
+4.4pp
29%
Away Win
28%
+0.6pp
65%
Under 2.5
59%
+6.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
41%
-6.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.1pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ceuta EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 32%
+16% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +7%
1.69/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.97
+22% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
358 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ceuta
2W-0D-1L
AWAY UD Ibiza
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
38% Ball Possession 62%
5 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 8
5 Yellow Cards 4
24.03.2024 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza 1-2 HT 0-1 Ceuta Ceuta İS3
03.12.2023 Ceuta Ceuta 0-1 HT 0-0 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS3
21.12.2022 Ceuta Ceuta 3-2 HT 2-2 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İSPK
POST-MATCH Ceuta vs UD Ibiza
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta saw off UD Ibiza 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 32% / 29%) promised a tight game; Ceuta found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ceuta had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Ceuta and 1.33 for UD Ibiza.

What was the final score of Ceuta vs UD Ibiza?

Ceuta 3-1 UD Ibiza in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ceuta vs UD Ibiza?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ceuta 39%, draw 32%, UD Ibiza 29%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ceuta) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ceuta) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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