UD Ibiza 1-2 Ceuta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.64
Over 2.5
46%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
2.06
No
54%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.63
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
19%
4.47
6+ Goals
10%
23.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
7%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-6.0pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.4pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
57%
-3.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
43%
+3.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
44%
+1.1pp
54%
BTTS No
56%
-1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME UD Ibiza EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceuta EU Bookmakers 22%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
2.02/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.41
+26% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +33% / -2%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
390 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 218 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME UD Ibiza
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ceuta
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
60% Ball Possession 40%
15 Total Shots 5
8 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 2
6 Yellow Cards 4
03.12.2023 Ceuta Ceuta 0-1 HT 0-0 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İS3
21.12.2022 Ceuta Ceuta 3-2 HT 2-2 UD Ibiza UD Ibiza İSPK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME UD Ibiza
1-2
AWAY Ceuta
63% Ball Possession 37%
21 Total Shots 5
10 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 1
3 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH UD Ibiza vs Ceuta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ceuta nicked a narrow win over UD Ibiza 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was UD Ibiza at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, UD Ibiza had 63% of the ball to Ceuta's 37%, shots finished 21-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for UD Ibiza and 1.50 for Ceuta.

What was the final score of UD Ibiza vs Ceuta?

UD Ibiza 1-2 Ceuta in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for UD Ibiza vs Ceuta?

Before kick-off our model rated a UD Ibiza win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split UD Ibiza 48%, draw 28%, Ceuta 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (UD Ibiza) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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