Alcoyano 1-1 Atletico Baleares — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 24 Mar 2024

📅24/03/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.53
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
22%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.4
No
56%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.49
2-3 Goals
44%
1.78
4-5 Goals
20%
4.78
6+ Goals
7%
27.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
61%
-9.1pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
22%
Away Win
14%
+7.8pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
38%
+6.9pp
56%
BTTS No
62%
-6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcoyano EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Baleares EU Bookmakers 17%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +2%
1.17/0.63 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.64
-33% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -5%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
431 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 257 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcoyano
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Atletico Baleares
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
03.12.2023 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares 2-1 HT 1-1 Alcoyano Alcoyano İS3
09.04.2023 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares 3-2 HT 2-0 Alcoyano Alcoyano İS3
02.10.2022 Alcoyano Alcoyano 2-1 HT 0-1 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS3
06.03.2022 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares 2-1 HT 0-1 Alcoyano Alcoyano İS3
13.11.2021 Alcoyano Alcoyano 0-0 HT 0-0 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS3
19.01.2014 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares 1-1 HT 0-0 Alcoyano Alcoyano İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcoyano
1-1
AWAY Atletico Baleares
50% Ball Possession 50%
18 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Alcoyano vs Atletico Baleares
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcoyano and Atletico Baleares shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Alcoyano at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (56%) missed.

On the day, Alcoyano had 50% of the ball to Atletico Baleares's 50%, shots finished 18-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Baleares led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Alcoyano and 1.50 for Atletico Baleares.

What was the final score of Alcoyano vs Atletico Baleares?

Alcoyano 1-1 Atletico Baleares in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 24/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcoyano vs Atletico Baleares?

Before kick-off our model rated a Alcoyano win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Alcoyano 52%, draw 26%, Atletico Baleares 22%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Alcoyano), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Alcoyano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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