Osasuna II 1-5 Sestao River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 30 Mar 2025

📅30/03/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.6
Over 2.5
40%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.95
No
60%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.43
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
18%
4.49
6+ Goals
9%
24.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
40%
-1.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.6pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.8pp
60%
Under 2.5
59%
+1.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
41%
-1.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
47%
-7.1pp
60%
BTTS No
53%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestao River EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.32/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.40/0.84
+5% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -62% / +34%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
305 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna II
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Sestao River
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 Sestao River Sestao River 1-2 HT 1-2 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
12.05.2024 Osasuna II Osasuna II 0-1 HT 0-1 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
16.12.2023 Sestao River Sestao River 2-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
09.04.2022 Osasuna II Osasuna II 1-1 HT 0-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS4
20.11.2021 Sestao River Sestao River 1-2 HT 0-2 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna II
1-5
AWAY Sestao River
56% Ball Possession 44%
6 Total Shots 15
1 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Osasuna II vs Sestao River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sestao River swept aside Osasuna II 5-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Sestao River made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osasuna II had 56% of the ball to Sestao River's 44%, shots finished 6-15.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Osasuna II and 1.20 for Sestao River.

What was the final score of Osasuna II vs Sestao River?

Osasuna II 1-5 Sestao River in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 30/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna II vs Sestao River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna II win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Osasuna II 39%, draw 28%, Sestao River 33%. The final score 1-5 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Osasuna II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İS3 More Spain - 2nd Division B
30 Mar 2025
13:00 Gimnastic Tarragona vs Ponferradina Analysis →
13:00 Gimnastica Segoviana vs Amorebieta Analysis →
13:00 Hercules vs UD Ibiza Analysis →
16:30 Algeciras vs Atletico Madrid II Analysis →
18:30 Atletico Sanluqueno vs Antequera Analysis →
18:30 Alcoyano vs Merida AD Analysis →