Sestao River 1-2 Osasuna II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.82
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.6
Over 2.5
39%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.09
No
56%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2.5
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
18%
4.76
6+ Goals
8%
26.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
51%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.3pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.2pp
61%
Under 2.5
59%
+2.6pp
39%
Over 2.5
41%
-2.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.4pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sestao River EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +12%
1.31/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.50
-11% / +104% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
312 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sestao River
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Osasuna II
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
12.05.2024 Osasuna II Osasuna II 0-1 HT 0-1 Sestao River Sestao River İS3
16.12.2023 Sestao River Sestao River 2-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
09.04.2022 Osasuna II Osasuna II 1-1 HT 0-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS4
20.11.2021 Sestao River Sestao River 1-2 HT 0-2 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sestao River
1-2
AWAY Osasuna II
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sestao River vs Osasuna II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osasuna II nicked a narrow win over Sestao River 2-1 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Sestao River at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Sestao River had 59% of the ball to Osasuna II's 41%, shots finished 15-9.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Sestao River had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Sestao River and 1.00 for Osasuna II.

What was the final score of Sestao River vs Osasuna II?

Sestao River 1-2 Osasuna II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sestao River vs Osasuna II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sestao River win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Sestao River 47%, draw 29%, Osasuna II 24%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Sestao River) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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