Lugo 1-0 Athletic Bilbao II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
33%
2.83
Away
28%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.44
Over 2.5
35%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.19
No
61%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2.05
2-3 Goals
37%
1.84
4-5 Goals
16%
6.33
6+ Goals
7%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
21%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
38%
+1.0pp
33%
Draw
32%
+1.2pp
28%
Away Win
30%
-2.1pp
65%
Under 2.5
66%
-0.7pp
35%
Over 2.5
34%
+0.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
42%
-2.9pp
61%
BTTS No
58%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lugo EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II EU Bookmakers 33%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -22%
0.74/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.56
-35% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -29%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
251 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lugo
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 45%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
418 Passes 316
83% Pass Accuracy 78%
22.05.2016 Lugo Lugo 2-0 HT 1-0 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II İS2
21.12.2015 Athletic Bilbao II Athletic Bilbao II 1-1 HT 1-1 Lugo Lugo İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lugo
1-0
AWAY Athletic Bilbao II
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Lugo vs Athletic Bilbao II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lugo edged past Athletic Bilbao II 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 33% / 28% — and on the day Lugo made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Lugo had 45% of the ball to Athletic Bilbao II's 55%, shots finished 7-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Lugo had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Lugo and 0.50 for Athletic Bilbao II.

What was the final score of Lugo vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Lugo 1-0 Athletic Bilbao II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lugo vs Athletic Bilbao II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lugo win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Lugo 38%, draw 33%, Athletic Bilbao II 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lugo), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lugo) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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