Algeciras 2-1 Fuenlabrada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒23:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.12
Draw
29%
2.88
Away
32%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.41
Over 2.5
42%
2.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.29
No
55%
1.55
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
1.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
19%
6.66
6+ Goals
9%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-4.5pp
29%
Draw
31%
-1.8pp
32%
Away Win
26%
+6.4pp
58%
Under 2.5
67%
-8.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
33%
+8.9pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+5.2pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Algeciras EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuenlabrada EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / +6%
1.36/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.21
+0% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +3%
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
340 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.3 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Algeciras
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Fuenlabrada
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 46%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
26.02.2023 Algeciras Algeciras 2-1 HT 1-0 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada İS3
28.08.2022 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada 2-0 HT 1-0 Algeciras Algeciras İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Algeciras
2-1
AWAY Fuenlabrada
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Algeciras vs Fuenlabrada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Algeciras squeezed past Fuenlabrada 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 29% / 32% — and on the day Algeciras made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Algeciras had 52% of the ball to Fuenlabrada's 48%, shots finished 10-5.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Algeciras and 1.50 for Fuenlabrada.

What was the final score of Algeciras vs Fuenlabrada?

Algeciras 2-1 Fuenlabrada in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Algeciras vs Fuenlabrada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Algeciras win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Algeciras 39%, draw 29%, Fuenlabrada 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Algeciras) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Algeciras) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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