Osasuna II 0-1 Sestao River — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.71
Over 2.5
46%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.91
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.02
6+ Goals
8%
18.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.9pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.0pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.8pp
54%
Under 2.5
55%
-0.8pp
46%
Over 2.5
45%
+0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osasuna II EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Sestao River EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.46/1.03 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/1.19
+18% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -7%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
340 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osasuna II
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Sestao River
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 3
16.12.2023 Sestao River Sestao River 2-1 HT 1-0 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS3
09.04.2022 Osasuna II Osasuna II 1-1 HT 0-0 Sestao River Sestao River İS4
20.11.2021 Sestao River Sestao River 1-2 HT 0-2 Osasuna II Osasuna II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osasuna II
0-1
AWAY Sestao River
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Osasuna II vs Sestao River
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sestao River squeezed past Osasuna II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Osasuna II at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Osasuna II had 52% of the ball to Sestao River's 48%, shots finished 10-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Osasuna II and 1.33 for Sestao River.

What was the final score of Osasuna II vs Sestao River?

Osasuna II 0-1 Sestao River in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osasuna II vs Sestao River?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osasuna II win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Osasuna II 41%, draw 29%, Sestao River 30%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Osasuna II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osasuna II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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