Alcoyano 3-1 Ceuta — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
43%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.88
2-3 Goals
42%
1.77
4-5 Goals
24%
4.05
6+ Goals
8%
18.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
4%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
32%
+0.2pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
43%
Away Win
39%
+3.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.1pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Alcoyano EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Ceuta EU Bookmakers 43%
-16% / -28% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.69/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.58
-35% / -11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -36%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
261 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Alcoyano
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Ceuta
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
17.09.2023 Ceuta Ceuta 1-0 HT 1-0 Alcoyano Alcoyano İS3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Alcoyano
3-1
AWAY Ceuta
32% Ball Possession 68%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Alcoyano vs Ceuta
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alcoyano got the better of Ceuta 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Ceuta at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Alcoyano had 32% of the ball to Ceuta's 68%, shots finished 11-11.

What was the final score of Alcoyano vs Ceuta?

Alcoyano 3-1 Ceuta in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Alcoyano vs Ceuta?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ceuta win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Alcoyano 32%, draw 25%, Ceuta 43%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Ceuta) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ceuta) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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