Unionistas 1-0 Real Sociedad II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
28%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.68
Over 2.5
46%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.8
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
4.17
6+ Goals
9%
20.15
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-3.7pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+5.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.3pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Unionistas EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Sociedad II EU Bookmakers 26%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +16%
1.24/0.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.14/1.22
-18% / +40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +22% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
355 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 18.2
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Unionistas
0W-2D-1L
AWAY Real Sociedad II
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.07 xG 0.75
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
325 Passes 323
83% Pass Accuracy 84%
18 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 3
10.09.2023 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 1-1 HT 1-0 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
18.01.2020 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II 0-0 HT 0-0 Unionistas Unionistas İS3
31.08.2019 Unionistas Unionistas 1-3 HT 0-2 Real Sociedad II Real Sociedad II İS3
POST-MATCH Unionistas vs Real Sociedad II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Unionistas nicked a narrow win over Real Sociedad II 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Unionistas as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Real Sociedad II led the recent series with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Unionistas and 1.33 for Real Sociedad II.

What was the final score of Unionistas vs Real Sociedad II?

Unionistas 1-0 Real Sociedad II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Unionistas vs Real Sociedad II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Unionistas win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Unionistas 46%, draw 27%, Real Sociedad II 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Unionistas), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Unionistas) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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