San Fernando 1-1 Malaga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
38%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.62
Over 2.5
44%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.55
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.63
6+ Goals
8%
25.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
31%
+3.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.1pp
38%
Away Win
41%
-3.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.2pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME San Fernando EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Malaga EU Bookmakers 45%
-6% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
1.05/1.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.65/1.08
+0% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +45% / -6%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
247 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME San Fernando
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Malaga
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.10.2023 Malaga Malaga 1-0 HT 1-0 San Fernando San Fernando İS3
09.08.2023 Malaga Malaga 1-1 San Fernando San Fernando HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME San Fernando
1-1
AWAY Malaga
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH San Fernando vs Malaga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

San Fernando and Malaga couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 28% / 38%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, San Fernando had 45% of the ball to Malaga's 55%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Malaga led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for San Fernando and 1.00 for Malaga.

What was the final score of San Fernando vs Malaga?

San Fernando 1-1 Malaga in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for San Fernando vs Malaga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Malaga win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split San Fernando 34%, draw 28%, Malaga 38%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Malaga), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Malaga) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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