Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 Barcelona II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division B, 12 May 2024

📅12/05/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.53
Draw
25%
3.8
Away
21%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.03
No
53%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
3.01
2-3 Goals
38%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.88
6+ Goals
11%
17.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 30% vs market 27.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
61%
-7.2pp
25%
Draw
23%
+2.1pp
21%
Away Win
16%
+5.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
45%
+2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
55%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo La Coruna EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Barcelona II EU Bookmakers 20%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +8%
1.48/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.65/0.23
+10% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / +7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
282 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
12.0 Crosses 14.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Barcelona II
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
03.12.2023 Barcelona II Barcelona II 1-2 HT 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS3
15.03.2014 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 HT 0-0 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS2
13.10.2013 Barcelona II Barcelona II 0-1 HT 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
18.02.2012 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna 2-1 HT 0-0 Barcelona II Barcelona II İS2
11.09.2011 Barcelona II Barcelona II 2-3 HT 1-3 Deportivo La Coruna Deportivo La Coruna İS2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo La Coruna
1-0
AWAY Barcelona II
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Deportivo La Coruna vs Barcelona II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo La Coruna squeezed past Barcelona II 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo La Coruna as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Deportivo La Coruna had 46% of the ball to Barcelona II's 54%, shots finished 10-10.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Deportivo La Coruna had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Deportivo La Coruna and 0.80 for Barcelona II.

What was the final score of Deportivo La Coruna vs Barcelona II?

Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 Barcelona II in the Spain - 2nd Division B on 12/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo La Coruna vs Barcelona II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo La Coruna win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Deportivo La Coruna 54%, draw 25%, Barcelona II 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo La Coruna) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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