Yverdon vs Aarau Prediction — Model Probabilities
Yverdon v Aarau — Team-Based Signals
Yverdon vs Aarau Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Yverdon 1-2 Aarau — Actual Match Statistics
Aarau came out on the right side of a one-goal game with Yverdon 2-1 on the road. It stood 1-1 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.
Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Aarau found the edge the numbers couldn't. Nothing to argue with on goals either — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%) came home.
Under the surface, possession split 59% to 41% in Yverdon's favour, shots finished 11-16, expected goals 2.77 to 1.40 — by the quality of chances, Yverdon deserved more.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.50 a game for Yverdon against 2.00 for Aarau.
Yverdon vs Aarau Result & Final Score
Yverdon 1-2 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Yverdon vs Aarau Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Yverdon win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Yverdon 40%, draw 26%, Aarau 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Yverdon) went the other way.