Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Portimonense Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Lusitania FC Lourosa v Portimonense — Team-Based Signals
Lusitania FC Lourosa 3-2 Portimonense — Actual Match Statistics
Lusitania FC Lourosa squeezed past Portimonense 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Lusitania FC Lourosa as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Lusitania FC Lourosa had 44% of the ball to Portimonense's 56%, shots finished 9-10, expected goals 1.91 to 1.72.
What was the final score of Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Portimonense?
Lusitania FC Lourosa 3-2 Portimonense in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Lusitania FC Lourosa vs Portimonense?
Before kick-off our model rated a Lusitania FC Lourosa win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lusitania FC Lourosa 44%, draw 25%, Portimonense 31%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lusitania FC Lourosa), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.