Chaves vs Paços De Ferreira Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Chaves v Paços De Ferreira — Team-Based Signals
Chaves vs Paços De Ferreira Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Paços De Ferreira
POR
1-1
HT 0-0
Chaves
POR
2-0
HT 1-0
Chaves
POR
4-2
HT 1-1
Paços De Ferreira
POR
Chaves 2-0 Paços De Ferreira — Actual Match Statistics
Chaves beat Paços De Ferreira 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Chaves as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Chaves had 47% of the ball to Paços De Ferreira's 53%, shots finished 15-10, expected goals 1.63 to 1.07.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chaves had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Chaves and 1.33 for Paços De Ferreira.
What was the final score of Chaves vs Paços De Ferreira?
Chaves 2-0 Paços De Ferreira in the Portugal - 2nd Division on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Chaves vs Paços De Ferreira?
Before kick-off our model rated a Chaves win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Chaves 56%, draw 24%, Paços De Ferreira 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chaves), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.