Dunajska Streda 3-1 Spartak Trnava — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.02
2-3 Goals
38%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.59
6+ Goals
10%
14.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.02 — our 31% vs market 26.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
12%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.8pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dunajska Streda EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Spartak Trnava EU Bookmakers 30%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
1.45/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.85/1.49
-8% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -33% / +4%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
302 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
22.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
17.8 Crosses 18.0
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dunajska Streda
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Spartak Trnava
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
1.52 xG 1.12
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
347 Passes 259
81% Pass Accuracy 75%
21 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 3
31.08.2025 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 0-3 HT 0-1 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
11.05.2025 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 1-0 HT 1-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
08.03.2025 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-1 HT 0-1 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
16.02.2025 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava 1-1 HT 0-0 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda SLVK
28.09.2024 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 0-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
12.05.2024 Dunajska Streda Dunajska Streda 1-0 HT 0-0 Spartak Trnava Spartak Trnava SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dunajska Streda
3-1
AWAY Spartak Trnava
2.74 xG 2.15
41% Ball Possession 59%
17 Total Shots 19
10 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 9
236 Passes 342
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 30
9 Crosses 23
4 Yellow Cards 6
POST-MATCH Dunajska Streda vs Spartak Trnava
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Dunajska Streda saw off Spartak Trnava 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Dunajska Streda as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Dunajska Streda had 41% of the ball to Spartak Trnava's 59%, shots finished 17-19, expected goals 2.74 to 2.15.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dunajska Streda had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Dunajska Streda and 0.33 for Spartak Trnava.

What was the final score of Dunajska Streda vs Spartak Trnava?

Dunajska Streda 3-1 Spartak Trnava in the Slovakia Super League on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dunajska Streda vs Spartak Trnava?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dunajska Streda win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Dunajska Streda 47%, draw 25%, Spartak Trnava 28%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Dunajska Streda) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Dunajska Streda) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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