Kocaelispor 0-0 Kasımpaşa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.72
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
19%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.71
Over 2.5
38%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
35%
2.82
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
18%
4.0
6+ Goals
8%
18.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.82 — our 35% vs market 29.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.23
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
8%
15.05
X/1
15%
4.12
X/2
5%
9.86
X/X
15%
4.67
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
9%
8.45
2/X
7%
16.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
55%
-2.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.6pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-0.9pp
62%
Under 2.5
55%
+7.2pp
38%
Over 2.5
45%
-7.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-1.7pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 22%
+23% / +23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +27%
1.27/0.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.73
-42% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +46% / -5%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
354 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 313 · 79%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.7
29.0 Crosses 17.1
Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kocaelispor
0W-1D-5L
AWAY Kasımpaşa
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 31
5 Shots on Target 10
5 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 5
28.12.2021 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 5-3 HT 1-1 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TÜK
01.11.2012 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 5-0 HT 4-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor TÜK
17.08.2008 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-4 HT 1-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa HAZ
28.12.2007 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-0 HT 1-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor SEV
25.02.2007 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 2-2 HT 1-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa T1L
17.09.2006 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 3-2 HT 1-0 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kocaelispor
0-0
AWAY Kasımpaşa
0.81 xG 0.16
67% Ball Possession 33%
9 Total Shots 4
3 Shots on Target 0
5 Corners 3
370 Passes 146
81% Pass Accuracy 65%
18 Box Touches 8
28 Crosses 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kocaelispor and Kasımpaşa played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Kocaelispor at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Kocaelispor had 67% of the ball to Kasımpaşa's 33%, shots finished 9-4, expected goals 0.81 to 0.16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa led the recent series with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kocaelispor and 3.50 for Kasımpaşa.

What was the final score of Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa?

Kocaelispor 0-0 Kasımpaşa in the Turkey - Super League on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kocaelispor vs Kasımpaşa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Kocaelispor 52%, draw 29%, Kasımpaşa 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Kocaelispor) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kocaelispor) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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