Gençlerbirliği 3-0 Fatih Karagümrük — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
27%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.8
Over 2.5
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.76
No
49%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
3.08
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.67
6+ Goals
10%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.08 — our 29% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
2.94
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.2
X/1
17%
4.87
X/2
8%
7.11
X/X
12%
4.58
2/1
6%
26.0
2/2
13%
5.3
2/X
9%
13.95
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.3pp
27%
Away Win
27%
-0.4pp
52%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.5pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 31%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -27%
1.11/1.32 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.69
-8% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -10%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 78%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
17.8 Crosses 18.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gençlerbirliği
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.25 xG 1.84
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
341 Passes 327
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
20 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 14
3 Yellow Cards 2
13.04.2025 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 0-0 HT 0-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği T1L
08.12.2024 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-0 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük T1L
08.05.2021 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 5-1 HT 2-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
15.01.2021 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-3 HT 0-2 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gençlerbirliği
3-0
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
2.42 xG 0.55
40% Ball Possession 60%
19 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 4
193 Passes 325
73% Pass Accuracy 81%
31 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Gençlerbirliği vs Fatih Karagümrük
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gençlerbirliği ran out comfortable winners over Fatih Karagümrük 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gençlerbirliği as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Gençlerbirliği had 40% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 60%, shots finished 19-8, expected goals 2.42 to 0.55.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Gençlerbirliği and 2.00 for Fatih Karagümrük.

What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Gençlerbirliği 3-0 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - Super League on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gençlerbirliği vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gençlerbirliği win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Gençlerbirliği 46%, draw 27%, Fatih Karagümrük 27%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gençlerbirliği) — while Under 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gençlerbirliği) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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