Fatih Karagümrük 0-0 Gençlerbirliği — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
26%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.82
No
52%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
29%
2.97
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
19%
4.13
6+ Goals
11%
19.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.97 — our 29% vs market 28.7%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.97
1/2
7%
35.0
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1 EV+ ✗
24%
4.73
X/2
11%
6.97
X/X
11%
4.46
2/1
6%
27.0
2/2
8%
5.38
2/X
10%
14.5
Value flag · X/1 at 4.73 — our 24% vs market 16.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
46%
+0.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.1pp
25%
Away Win
27%
-1.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.4pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.7pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +7%
1.20/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.26
-15% / +36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
341 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
20.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.4
20.9 Crosses 15.8
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
2.12 xG 1.43
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
353 Passes 351
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 22
12 Crosses 27
2 Yellow Cards 3
08.12.2024 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-0 HT 0-0 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük T1L
08.05.2021 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 5-1 HT 2-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
15.01.2021 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-3 HT 0-2 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fatih Karagümrük
0-0
AWAY Gençlerbirliği
1.01 xG 0.68
47% Ball Possession 53%
7 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 3
251 Passes 309
72% Pass Accuracy 76%
17 Box Touches 12
18 Crosses 14
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Fatih Karagümrük vs Gençlerbirliği
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fatih Karagümrük and Gençlerbirliği played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Fatih Karagümrük at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Fatih Karagümrük had 47% of the ball to Gençlerbirliği's 53%, shots finished 7-10, expected goals 1.01 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Fatih Karagümrük and 1.00 for Gençlerbirliği.

What was the final score of Fatih Karagümrük vs Gençlerbirliği?

Fatih Karagümrük 0-0 Gençlerbirliği in the Turkey - 1st Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fatih Karagümrük vs Gençlerbirliği?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Fatih Karagümrük 46%, draw 28%, Gençlerbirliği 25%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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