Çorum FK 3-2 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2025

Çorum FK
3-2 HT 2-1
Manisa FK
📅13/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2024/2025

Çorum FK vs Manisa FK Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.86
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
29%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.95
Over 2.5
50%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.7
No
50%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.63
2-3 Goals
38%
1.86
4-5 Goals
25%
3.46
6+ Goals
11%
12.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.63 — our 26% vs market 23.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.52
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
20%
4.58
X/2
11%
8.24
X/X
10%
5.06
2/1
8%
23.3
2/2
13%
6.21
2/X
6%
14.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
50%
-4.4pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.6pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
48%
+2.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
52%
-2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.9pp
50%
BTTS No
45%
+4.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Çorum FK v Manisa FK — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -2%
1.69/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.55
+31% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
310 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 316 · 78%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.7
22.2 Crosses 15.7
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.5

Çorum FK vs Manisa FK Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çorum FK
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Manisa FK
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.69 xG 1.59
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
5 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
263 Passes 364
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
19 Box Touches 22
10 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
07.12.2024 Manisa FK Manisa FK 0-1 HT 0-1 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
16.03.2024 Çorum FK Çorum FK 4-3 HT 2-2 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
29.10.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 2-2 HT 0-1 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
20.09.2020 Çorum FK Çorum FK 1-3 HT 1-2 Manisa FK Manisa FK S2-B
17.11.2019 Çorum FK Çorum FK 0-2 HT 0-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK S2-B

Çorum FK 3-2 Manisa FK — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çorum FK
3-2
AWAY Manisa FK
1.14 xG 2.80
49% Ball Possession 51%
16 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 4
318 Passes 346
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
26 Box Touches 17
10 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Çorum FK vs Manisa FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorum FK nicked a narrow win over Manisa FK 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Çorum FK as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Çorum FK had 49% of the ball to Manisa FK's 51%, shots finished 16-17, expected goals 1.14 to 2.80 — the balance of chances actually favoured Manisa FK.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Çorum FK and 2.00 for Manisa FK.

What was the final score of Çorum FK vs Manisa FK?

Çorum FK 3-2 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çorum FK vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Çorum FK 46%, draw 25%, Manisa FK 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çorum FK) — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Çorum FK)
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