Manisa FK 0-1 Çorum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.25
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
36%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.85
No
55%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.82
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
4.24
6+ Goals
8%
20.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
3.4
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.9
X/1
12%
4.91
X/2 EV+ ✗
21%
5.99
X/X
14%
4.27
2/1
6%
30.0
2/2
9%
4.5
2/X
6%
14.1
Value flag · X/2 at 5.99 — our 21% vs market 12.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
41%
-3.5pp
27%
Draw
28%
-0.9pp
36%
Away Win
31%
+4.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.1pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.1pp
45%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.7pp
55%
BTTS No
50%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 34%
+1% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.32/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.18
-10% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +1%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
334 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 77%
21.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.1
15.4 Crosses 16.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Manisa FK
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Çorum FK
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
1.25 xG 1.46
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 2
374 Passes 259
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 11
3 Yellow Cards 2
16.03.2024 Çorum FK Çorum FK 4-3 HT 2-2 Manisa FK Manisa FK T1L
29.10.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 2-2 HT 0-1 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
20.09.2020 Çorum FK Çorum FK 1-3 HT 1-2 Manisa FK Manisa FK S2-B
17.11.2019 Çorum FK Çorum FK 0-2 HT 0-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Manisa FK
0-1
AWAY Çorum FK
2.29 xG 2.16
56% Ball Possession 44%
21 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
344 Passes 270
81% Pass Accuracy 79%
27 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Manisa FK vs Çorum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorum FK edged past Manisa FK 1-0 away from home.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 27% / 36% — and on the day Çorum FK made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Manisa FK had 56% of the ball to Çorum FK's 44%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 2.29 to 2.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Manisa FK had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.50 goals for Manisa FK and 1.75 for Çorum FK.

What was the final score of Manisa FK vs Çorum FK?

Manisa FK 0-1 Çorum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Manisa FK vs Çorum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Manisa FK win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Manisa FK 37%, draw 27%, Çorum FK 36%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Manisa FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Manisa FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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