Erzurumspor FK 1-0 Adanaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.37
Draw
26%
4.19
Away
18%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.4
No
55%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2.98
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
4.02
6+ Goals
9%
18.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.7
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
7%
22.1
X/1
19%
3.31
X/2
7%
17.0
X/X
10%
5.51
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
7%
15.75
2/X
9%
23.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
68%
-12.8pp
26%
Draw
21%
+5.1pp
19%
Away Win
11%
+7.6pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
38%
+7.2pp
55%
BTTS No
62%
-7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 73%
Head to Head
AWAY Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 14%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
2.24/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.77/1.78
+15% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +2%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
385 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 246 · 73%
29.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
23.6 Crosses 13.9
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzurumspor FK
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Adanaspor
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.19 xG 0.89
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 Passes 295
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 15
20 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.02.2024 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
24.09.2023 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
12.11.2022 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 3-2 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
21.02.2022 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
25.09.2021 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 3-1 HT 1-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
17.02.2020 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzurumspor FK
1-0
AWAY Adanaspor
0.58 xG 0.47
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 1
3 Corners 0
249 Passes 180
71% Pass Accuracy 65%
21 Box Touches 5
17 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Erzurumspor FK vs Adanaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzurumspor FK squeezed past Adanaspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Erzurumspor FK as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Erzurumspor FK had 55% of the ball to Adanaspor's 45%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.58 to 0.47.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Erzurumspor FK had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Erzurumspor FK and 0.83 for Adanaspor.

What was the final score of Erzurumspor FK vs Adanaspor?

Erzurumspor FK 1-0 Adanaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzurumspor FK vs Adanaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 56%, draw 26%, Adanaspor 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erzurumspor FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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