Erzurumspor FK 1-0 Adanaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
56%
1.72
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.68
Over 2.5
39%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.03
No
63%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
36%
2.72
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
15%
4.2
6+ Goals
9%
20.7
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 36% vs market 30.4%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.18
1/2
6%
34.0
1/X
5%
15.1
X/1
24%
3.76
X/2
5%
9.87
X/X
12%
4.33
2/1
8%
26.5
2/2
8%
8.42
2/X
8%
16.2
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
55%
+0.8pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.9pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.0pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+5.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-5.7pp
37%
BTTS Yes
45%
-8.1pp
63%
BTTS No
55%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Erzurumspor FK EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Adanaspor EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -10%
1.40/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.53
+32% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / -12%
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 71%
22.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
20.7 Crosses 13.1
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Erzurumspor FK
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Adanaspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.30 xG 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
304 Passes 271
78% Pass Accuracy 75%
25 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.09.2023 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-0 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
12.11.2022 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 3-2 HT 0-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
21.02.2022 Adanaspor Adanaspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
25.09.2021 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 3-1 HT 1-0 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
17.02.2020 Adanaspor Adanaspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK T1L
20.09.2019 Erzurumspor FK Erzurumspor FK 2-1 HT 1-1 Adanaspor Adanaspor T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Erzurumspor FK
1-0
AWAY Adanaspor
0.91 xG 0.52
44% Ball Possession 56%
14 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
207 Passes 297
71% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 11
17 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Erzurumspor FK vs Adanaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Erzurumspor FK edged past Adanaspor 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Erzurumspor FK as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (63%) came in.

On the day, Erzurumspor FK had 44% of the ball to Adanaspor's 56%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 0.91 to 0.52.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Erzurumspor FK had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Erzurumspor FK and 1.00 for Adanaspor.

What was the final score of Erzurumspor FK vs Adanaspor?

Erzurumspor FK 1-0 Adanaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Erzurumspor FK vs Adanaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Erzurumspor FK win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Erzurumspor FK 55%, draw 25%, Adanaspor 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Erzurumspor FK), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Erzurumspor FK) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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