Bodrum FK 3-0 Altay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 18 Feb 2024

Bodrum FK
3-0 HT 1-0
Altay
📅18/02/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Turkey - 1st Division – 2023/2024

Bodrum FK vs Altay Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
67%
1.18
Draw
20%
5.28
Away
13%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.1
Over 2.5
51%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.6
No
62%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
3.96
2-3 Goals
41%
1.82
4-5 Goals
26%
3.08
6+ Goals
10%
10.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.96 — our 23% vs market 19.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
41%
1.34
1/2
4%
34.0
1/X
4%
34.0
X/1
20%
3.08
X/2
5%
31.0
X/X
8%
8.35
2/1
6%
29.0
2/2
4%
27.5
2/X
8%
34.0
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
67%
Home Win
79%
-11.7pp
20%
Draw
15%
+5.2pp
12%
Away Win
6%
+6.6pp
49%
Under 2.5
44%
+5.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
56%
-5.2pp
38%
BTTS Yes
34%
+3.6pp
62%
BTTS No
66%
-3.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Bodrum FK v Altay — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodrum FK EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Altay EU Bookmakers 9%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.90/0.39 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.49/1.94
-42% / +119% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -58% / +2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
18 Total Shots 6
8 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
32.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.7
24.9 Crosses 11.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.5

Bodrum FK vs Altay Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodrum FK
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Altay
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.40 xG 0.70
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
229 Passes 270
69% Pass Accuracy 70%
17 Box Touches 12
20 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
25.09.2023 Altay Altay 1-1 HT 0-1 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK T1L
05.03.2023 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK 2-0 HT 1-0 Altay Altay T1L
11.09.2022 Altay Altay 2-0 HT 1-0 Bodrum FK Bodrum FK T1L

Bodrum FK 3-0 Altay — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bodrum FK
3-0
AWAY Altay
2.89 xG 0.08
59% Ball Possession 41%
21 Total Shots 3
12 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
324 Passes 197
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
39 Box Touches 8
14 Crosses 6
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Bodrum FK vs Altay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodrum FK cruised past Altay 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Bodrum FK as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (62%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Bodrum FK had 59% of the ball to Altay's 41%, shots finished 21-3, expected goals 2.89 to 0.08.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Bodrum FK and 1.00 for Altay.

What was the final score of Bodrum FK vs Altay?

Bodrum FK 3-0 Altay in the Turkey - 1st Division on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodrum FK vs Altay?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodrum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Bodrum FK 67%, draw 20%, Altay 12%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodrum FK), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Bodrum FK) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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