Sakaryaspor 3-1 Çorum FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 18 Feb 2024

📅18/02/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.27
Draw
32%
3.11
Away
34%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.71
Over 2.5
48%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.82
No
50%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.81
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
4.05
6+ Goals
10%
19.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
3.36
1/2
8%
34.0
1/X EV+ ✗
13%
12.85
X/1
13%
4.97
X/2
11%
5.99
X/X
13%
4.06
2/1
8%
29.0
2/2
15%
4.39
2/X
6%
13.05
Value flag · 1/X at 12.85 — our 13% vs market 4.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
40%
-6.6pp
32%
Draw
29%
+3.7pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+2.9pp
52%
Under 2.5
55%
-2.8pp
48%
Over 2.5
45%
+2.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
51%
-0.4pp
50%
BTTS No
49%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 34%
+15% / +20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +36% / +36%
1.33/1.06 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.66/1.13
+14% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +60% /
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
337 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 78%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.8
14.9 Crosses 16.7
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sakaryaspor
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Çorum FK
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
0.43 xG 0.98
56% Ball Possession 44%
9 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 1
387 Passes 278
83% Pass Accuracy 75%
17 Box Touches 9
23 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2023 Çorum FK Çorum FK 1-0 HT 1-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
19.09.2021 Çorum FK Çorum FK 0-0 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakaryaspor
3-1
AWAY Çorum FK
0.96 xG 1.77
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
314 Passes 379
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
24 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 34
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Sakaryaspor vs Çorum FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sakaryaspor saw off Çorum FK 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 32% / 34% — and on the day Sakaryaspor made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Sakaryaspor had 45% of the ball to Çorum FK's 55%, shots finished 12-16, expected goals 0.96 to 1.77 — the balance of chances actually favoured Çorum FK.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Çorum FK led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Sakaryaspor and 0.50 for Çorum FK.

What was the final score of Sakaryaspor vs Çorum FK?

Sakaryaspor 3-1 Çorum FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 18/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakaryaspor vs Çorum FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sakaryaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Sakaryaspor 34%, draw 32%, Çorum FK 34%. The final score 3-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✗ Under 2.5
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