Yeni Malatyaspor 1-3 Kocaelispor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 7 Dec 2024

📅07/12/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
12%
16.01
Draw
16%
8.78
Away
72%
1.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
Over 2.5
57%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
No
66%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
4%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
4%
X/2
21%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
47%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
12%
Home Win
6%
+5.7pp
16%
Draw
11%
+4.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yeni Malatyaspor EU Bookmakers 6%
Head to Head
AWAY Kocaelispor EU Bookmakers 97%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
0.69/2.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/0.15
+48% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% /
36% Ball Possession 64%
7 Total Shots 15
2 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
214 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 484 · 85%
3.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 29.0
7.6 Crosses 20.0
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yeni Malatyaspor
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Kocaelispor
9.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
09.10.2011 Kocaelispor Kocaelispor 0-9 HT 0-4 Yeni Malatyaspor Yeni Malatyaspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yeni Malatyaspor
1-3
AWAY Kocaelispor
0.15 xG 2.29
29% Ball Possession 71%
4 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 7
172 Passes 534
68% Pass Accuracy 87%
3 Box Touches 27
7 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Yeni Malatyaspor vs Kocaelispor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kocaelispor saw off Yeni Malatyaspor 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Kocaelispor as the likeliest winner at 72%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (66%) missed.

On the day, Yeni Malatyaspor had 29% of the ball to Kocaelispor's 71%, shots finished 4-13, expected goals 0.15 to 2.29.

What was the final score of Yeni Malatyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Yeni Malatyaspor 1-3 Kocaelispor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 07/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yeni Malatyaspor vs Kocaelispor?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kocaelispor win the most likely single outcome at about 72%, with the full match-result split Yeni Malatyaspor 12%, draw 16%, Kocaelispor 72%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kocaelispor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kocaelispor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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