Çorum FK 4-3 Manisa FK — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
32%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.75
Over 2.5
49%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.82
No
54%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.92
2-3 Goals
36%
1.77
4-5 Goals
25%
3.99
6+ Goals
9%
18.3
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.81
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
14.0
X/1
16%
4.37
X/2
11%
7.0
X/X
8%
4.43
2/1
7%
26.5
2/2
14%
5.42
2/X
6%
14.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
46%
+0.8pp
21%
Draw
27%
-5.9pp
32%
Away Win
27%
+5.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
53%
-1.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
47%
+1.8pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.1pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Çorum FK EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Manisa FK EU Bookmakers 30%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -20% / -20%
2.06/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.97/1.53
+27% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -25%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
356 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 75%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
25.5 Crosses 17.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Çorum FK
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Manisa FK
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.99 xG 1.61
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 0
222 Passes 458
75% Pass Accuracy 86%
16 Box Touches 20
9 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
29.10.2023 Manisa FK Manisa FK 2-2 HT 0-1 Çorum FK Çorum FK T1L
20.09.2020 Çorum FK Çorum FK 1-3 HT 1-2 Manisa FK Manisa FK S2-B
17.11.2019 Çorum FK Çorum FK 0-2 HT 0-0 Manisa FK Manisa FK S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Çorum FK
4-3
AWAY Manisa FK
1.92 xG 0.88
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 1
296 Passes 291
80% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 20
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Çorum FK vs Manisa FK
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Çorum FK nicked a narrow win over Manisa FK 4-3. The game was level at 2-2 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Çorum FK as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Çorum FK had 50% of the ball to Manisa FK's 50%, shots finished 15-12, expected goals 1.92 to 0.88.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Manisa FK led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Çorum FK and 2.33 for Manisa FK.

What was the final score of Çorum FK vs Manisa FK?

Çorum FK 4-3 Manisa FK in the Turkey - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Çorum FK vs Manisa FK?

Before kick-off our model rated a Çorum FK win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Çorum FK 47%, draw 21%, Manisa FK 32%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Çorum FK) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Çorum FK) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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