Göztepe 0-0 Keçiörengücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 16 Mar 2024

📅16/03/2024 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.45
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
17%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.03
No
58%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
3.38
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.51
6+ Goals
10%
13.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.38 — our 26% vs market 24.1%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1.78
1/2
4%
34.5
1/X
5%
18.8
X/1
22%
3.46
X/2
6%
13.75
X/X
12%
5.71
2/1
7%
24.45
2/2
8%
11.7
2/X
6%
19.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
65%
-5.5pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.4pp
17%
Away Win
14%
+3.1pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.0pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.0pp
42%
BTTS Yes
45%
-3.1pp
58%
BTTS No
55%
+3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Göztepe EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 17%
+0% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.59/0.56 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.69
+6% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +7%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
409 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 76%
26.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.1
18.0 Crosses 12.8
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Göztepe
3W-1D-0L
AWAY Keçiörengücü
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.43 xG 0.75
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
254 Passes 330
74% Pass Accuracy 77%
18 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 22
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2023 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 0-1 HT 0-1 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
11.04.2023 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 2-3 HT 0-1 Göztepe Göztepe T1L
14.11.2022 Göztepe Göztepe 2-1 HT 1-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
22.01.2006 Göztepe Göztepe 1-1 HT 0-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü S3-3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Göztepe
0-0
AWAY Keçiörengücü
1.45 xG 0.86
54% Ball Possession 46%
24 Total Shots 16
8 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 9
262 Passes 205
71% Pass Accuracy 67%
32 Box Touches 26
19 Crosses 24
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Göztepe vs Keçiörengücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Göztepe and Keçiörengücü fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Göztepe at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.

On the day, Göztepe had 54% of the ball to Keçiörengücü's 46%, shots finished 24-16, expected goals 1.45 to 0.86.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Göztepe had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Göztepe and 1.00 for Keçiörengücü.

What was the final score of Göztepe vs Keçiörengücü?

Göztepe 0-0 Keçiörengücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 16/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Göztepe vs Keçiörengücü?

Before kick-off our model rated a Göztepe win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Göztepe 59%, draw 24%, Keçiörengücü 17%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Göztepe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Göztepe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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