Sakaryaspor 1-0 Pendikspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 13 Apr 2025

📅13/04/2025 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.27
Draw
29%
3.28
Away
25%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
1.91
Over 2.5
54%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.66
No
47%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
3.56
2-3 Goals
40%
1.85
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.52
6+ Goals
10%
13.25
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.52 — our 26% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
3.4
1/2
9%
30.0
1/X EV+ ✗
12%
12.65
X/1
18%
5.47
X/2
9%
6.37
X/X
10%
4.72
2/1
6%
26.5
2/2
8%
4.29
2/X
6%
12.9
Value flag · 1/X at 12.65 — our 12% vs market 5.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
40%
+5.8pp
29%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
25%
Away Win
32%
-7.1pp
46%
Under 2.5
48%
-2.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
52%
+2.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
56%
-2.7pp
47%
BTTS No
44%
+2.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 36%
+12% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -1%
1.23/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.08
+18% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +31%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
275 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 78%
20.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.7
17.9 Crosses 17.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sakaryaspor
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Pendikspor
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.92 xG 1.64
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
299 Passes 410
78% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
08.12.2024 Pendikspor Pendikspor 3-0 HT 3-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
07.05.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 3-2 HT 3-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor T1L
12.12.2022 Pendikspor Pendikspor 3-1 HT 2-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
29.11.2020 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor S2-K
10.02.2018 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 3-2 HT 1-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-B
24.09.2017 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor S2-B
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sakaryaspor
1-0
AWAY Pendikspor
0.77 xG 1.10
30% Ball Possession 70%
5 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 7
177 Passes 506
68% Pass Accuracy 85%
11 Box Touches 33
12 Crosses 30
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sakaryaspor vs Pendikspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sakaryaspor nicked a narrow win over Pendikspor 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sakaryaspor as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Sakaryaspor had 30% of the ball to Pendikspor's 70%, shots finished 5-14, expected goals 0.77 to 1.10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sakaryaspor had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Sakaryaspor and 1.67 for Pendikspor.

What was the final score of Sakaryaspor vs Pendikspor?

Sakaryaspor 1-0 Pendikspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 13/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sakaryaspor vs Pendikspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sakaryaspor win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Sakaryaspor 46%, draw 29%, Pendikspor 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sakaryaspor) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sakaryaspor) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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