Pendikspor 3-0 Sakaryaspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
21%
3.8
Away
29%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.9
Over 2.5
57%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.9
No
46%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.4
2-3 Goals
40%
1.81
4-5 Goals
25%
3.56
6+ Goals
13%
13.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.02
1/2
5%
34.5
1/X
6%
16.6
X/1
18%
3.73
X/2
11%
11.0
X/X
10%
5.4
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
23.85
2/2
13%
8.98
2/X
5%
17.5
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.85 — our 8% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.1pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.0pp
29%
Away Win
18%
+11.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
49%
-5.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
51%
+5.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
49%
+5.3pp
46%
BTTS No
51%
-5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pendikspor EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Sakaryaspor EU Bookmakers 21%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -15%
1.39/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.73/1.71
-20% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -27%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
322 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.8
19.2 Crosses 16.3
1.8 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pendikspor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sakaryaspor
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.35 xG 1.06
61% Ball Possession 39%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
478 Passes 274
86% Pass Accuracy 75%
18 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
07.05.2023 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 3-2 HT 3-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor T1L
12.12.2022 Pendikspor Pendikspor 3-1 HT 2-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor T1L
29.11.2020 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-2 HT 0-1 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor S2-K
10.02.2018 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor 3-2 HT 1-0 Pendikspor Pendikspor S2-B
24.09.2017 Pendikspor Pendikspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor S2-B
18.11.2012 Pendikspor Pendikspor 4-0 HT 1-0 Sakaryaspor Sakaryaspor S2-K
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pendikspor
3-0
AWAY Sakaryaspor
2.22 xG 0.62
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
273 Passes 347
77% Pass Accuracy 84%
19 Box Touches 16
8 Crosses 34
5 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Pendikspor vs Sakaryaspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pendikspor ran out comfortable winners over Sakaryaspor 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Pendikspor as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Pendikspor had 45% of the ball to Sakaryaspor's 55%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 2.22 to 0.62.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sakaryaspor led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Pendikspor and 1.50 for Sakaryaspor.

What was the final score of Pendikspor vs Sakaryaspor?

Pendikspor 3-0 Sakaryaspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pendikspor vs Sakaryaspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pendikspor win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Pendikspor 50%, draw 21%, Sakaryaspor 29%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pendikspor), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pendikspor) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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