Gençlerbirliği 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
35%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.81
No
51%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.93
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
4.07
6+ Goals
9%
18.85
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.2
1/2
9%
30.0
1/X
8%
13.9
X/1
11%
5.77
X/2
13%
5.12
X/X
13%
4.38
2/1
8%
33.0
2/2
12%
3.55
2/X
10%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
34%
+0.2pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.6pp
35%
Away Win
38%
-3.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.7pp
49%
BTTS Yes
51%
-1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
49%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gençlerbirliği EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük EU Bookmakers 42%
+0% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +32% / +32%
1.30/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/0.93
-13% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +76% / -7%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
297 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 342 · 79%
18.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.3
15.6 Crosses 19.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gençlerbirliği
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
1.25 xG 2.55
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 7
7 Corners 6
378 Passes 356
83% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 24
30 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
08.05.2021 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük 5-1 HT 2-0 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği TSL
15.01.2021 Gençlerbirliği Gençlerbirliği 1-3 HT 0-2 Fatih Karagümrük Fatih Karagümrük TSL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gençlerbirliği
1-0
AWAY Fatih Karagümrük
1.79 xG 1.27
47% Ball Possession 53%
18 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 1
298 Passes 346
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
25 Box Touches 24
21 Crosses 12
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Gençlerbirliği vs Fatih Karagümrük
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gençlerbirliği edged past Fatih Karagümrük 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 31% / 35% — and on the day Gençlerbirliği made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Gençlerbirliği had 47% of the ball to Fatih Karagümrük's 53%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.79 to 1.27.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fatih Karagümrük led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gençlerbirliği and 4.00 for Fatih Karagümrük.

What was the final score of Gençlerbirliği vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Gençlerbirliği 1-0 Fatih Karagümrük in the Turkey - 1st Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gençlerbirliği vs Fatih Karagümrük?

Before kick-off our model rated an Fatih Karagümrük win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Gençlerbirliği 34%, draw 31%, Fatih Karagümrük 35%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fatih Karagümrük) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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