Boluspor 2-3 MKE Ankaragücü — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
37%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.74
Over 2.5
41%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
19%
4.1
6+ Goals
9%
19.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 31% vs market 28.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
5.23
1/2
15%
28.0
1/X
10%
14.45
X/1
7%
6.78
X/2
11%
4.53
X/X
14%
4.4
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
10%
2.98
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+3.3pp
31%
Draw
27%
+3.9pp
36%
Away Win
44%
-7.2pp
59%
Under 2.5
54%
+5.2pp
41%
Over 2.5
46%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.1pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boluspor EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü EU Bookmakers 48%
-4% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -17%
1.35/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.90
-5% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +24%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 77%
18.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.5
16.6 Crosses 19.6
2.1 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boluspor
2W-1D-3L
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.63 xG 0.97
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
288 Passes 502
80% Pass Accuracy 87%
31 Box Touches 16
28 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
14.05.2022 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-2 HT 0-1 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
18.12.2021 Boluspor Boluspor 0-2 HT 0-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
04.03.2018 Boluspor Boluspor 3-1 HT 2-0 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
15.10.2017 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 2-0 HT 1-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
22.04.2013 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü 1-0 HT 0-0 Boluspor Boluspor T1L
01.12.2012 Boluspor Boluspor 1-1 HT 1-1 MKE Ankaragücü MKE Ankaragücü T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boluspor
2-3
AWAY MKE Ankaragücü
2.25 xG 0.61
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 1
346 Passes 255
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
21 Box Touches 17
8 Crosses 7
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Boluspor vs MKE Ankaragücü
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MKE Ankaragücü nicked a narrow win over Boluspor 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 31% / 36% — and on the day MKE Ankaragücü made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Boluspor had 56% of the ball to MKE Ankaragücü's 44%, shots finished 11-11, expected goals 2.25 to 0.61 — the balance of chances actually favoured Boluspor.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, MKE Ankaragücü led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Boluspor and 1.33 for MKE Ankaragücü.

What was the final score of Boluspor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Boluspor 2-3 MKE Ankaragücü in the Turkey - 1st Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boluspor vs MKE Ankaragücü?

Before kick-off our model rated an MKE Ankaragücü win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Boluspor 32%, draw 31%, MKE Ankaragücü 36%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MKE Ankaragücü) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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