Keçiörengücü 2-1 İstanbulspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - 1st Division, 8 Dec 2024

📅08/12/2024 · 🕒13:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.75
No
57%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.18
2-3 Goals
40%
1.8
4-5 Goals
19%
3.77
6+ Goals
10%
15.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 31% vs market 26.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
3.56
1/2
7%
31.0
1/X
5%
13.55
X/1
13%
5.26
X/2
10%
5.75
X/X
14%
4.58
2/1
10%
28.5
2/2
15%
4.03
2/X
8%
13.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
32%
Away Win
34%
-1.3pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.2pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.2pp
43%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.0pp
57%
BTTS No
47%
+10.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Keçiörengücü EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY İstanbulspor EU Bookmakers 37%
+4% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.20/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.25
+23% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 326 · 77%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.7
17.4 Crosses 16.6
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Keçiörengücü
1W-5D-0L
AWAY İstanbulspor
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.29 xG 1.28
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
303 Passes 423
78% Pass Accuracy 82%
21 Box Touches 18
18 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 2
18.03.2022 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-1 HT 1-1 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
23.10.2021 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 3-2 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
05.03.2021 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 0-0 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
01.11.2020 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 1-1 HT 1-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
27.02.2020 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü 0-0 HT 0-0 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor T1L
05.10.2019 İstanbulspor İstanbulspor 1-1 HT 0-0 Keçiörengücü Keçiörengücü T1L
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Keçiörengücü
2-1
AWAY İstanbulspor
0.58 xG 1.14
43% Ball Possession 57%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 3
293 Passes 415
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 26
16 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Keçiörengücü vs İstanbulspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Keçiörengücü squeezed past İstanbulspor 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Keçiörengücü as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Keçiörengücü had 43% of the ball to İstanbulspor's 57%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.58 to 1.14 — the balance of chances actually favoured İstanbulspor.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Keçiörengücü had the better of it with 1 wins, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Keçiörengücü and 0.83 for İstanbulspor.

What was the final score of Keçiörengücü vs İstanbulspor?

Keçiörengücü 2-1 İstanbulspor in the Turkey - 1st Division on 08/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Keçiörengücü vs İstanbulspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Keçiörengücü win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Keçiörengücü 41%, draw 27%, İstanbulspor 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Keçiörengücü) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Keçiörengücü) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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