Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 2-1 Stade Gabesien — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.9
Draw
30%
3.04
Away
22%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
Over 2.5
46%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
2.27
No
48%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-0.8pp
30%
Draw
30%
+0.5pp
22%
Away Win
22%
+0.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
40%
+11.7pp
48%
BTTS No
60%
-11.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Stade Gabesien EU Bookmakers 25%
+30% / +30% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +7%
1.50/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.46/0.82
+6% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / +66%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
221 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Stade Gabesien
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
60% Ball Possession 40%
9 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
8 Corners 1
4 Yellow Cards 5
05.01.2025 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 1-0 Stade Gabesien Stade Gabesien TUN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
2-1
AWAY Stade Gabesien
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs Stade Gabesien
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer nicked a narrow win over Stade Gabesien 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer had 45% of the ball to Stade Gabesien's 55%, shots finished 12-8.

What was the final score of Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs Stade Gabesien?

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 2-1 Stade Gabesien in the Tunisia - 2nd Division Yükselme on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs Stade Gabesien?

Before kick-off our model rated a Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 48%, draw 30%, Stade Gabesien 22%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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