Western Suburbs 2-7 Wellington Phoenix Res — Result, Statistics & Match Review — New Zealand - Bölgesel, 7 Dec 2025

📅07/12/2025 · 🕒04:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.66
Draw
22%
4.08
Away
25%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
Over Pick
62%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.38
No
40%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
32%
4-5
32%
6+
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
25%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
56%
-2.6pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.9pp
25%
Away Win
23%
+1.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.0pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western Suburbs EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Wellington Phoenix Res EU Bookmakers 27%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
1.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.18/1.26
-53% / +57% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +55% / +84%
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
336 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western Suburbs
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Wellington Phoenix Res
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
20 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
10 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
03.11.2024 Wellington Phoenix Res Wellington Phoenix Res 2-0 HT 1-0 Western Suburbs YZLBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Western Suburbs
2-7
AWAY Wellington Phoenix Res
33% Ball Possession 67%
14 Total Shots 27
5 Shots on Target 15
1 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Western Suburbs vs Wellington Phoenix Res
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wellington Phoenix Res ran out comfortable winners over Western Suburbs 7-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Western Suburbs at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Western Suburbs had 33% of the ball to Wellington Phoenix Res's 67%, shots finished 14-27.

What was the final score of Western Suburbs vs Wellington Phoenix Res?

Western Suburbs 2-7 Wellington Phoenix Res in the New Zealand - Bölgesel on 07/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western Suburbs vs Wellington Phoenix Res?

Before kick-off our model rated a Western Suburbs win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Western Suburbs 53%, draw 22%, Wellington Phoenix Res 25%. The final score 2-7 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Western Suburbs) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Western Suburbs) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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