Maccabi Petah Tikva 0-3 Hapoel Haifa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Israel - Ligat HaAl, 8 Jan 2024

📅08/01/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
35%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.03
Over 2.5
45%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.63
No
54%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
3.13
2-3 Goals
33%
1.73
4-5 Goals
21%
3.49
6+ Goals
11%
14.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.13 — our 35% vs market 25.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
32%
+6.7pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.6pp
35%
Away Win
41%
-6.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
45%
+9.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
55%
-9.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
57%
-11.3pp
54%
BTTS No
43%
+11.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maccabi Petah Tikva EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Hapoel Haifa EU Bookmakers 45%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +28% / +28%
0.71/1.48 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/1.41
-16% / -44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +107%
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
290 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
9.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
4.0 Crosses 18.8
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maccabi Petah Tikva
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Hapoel Haifa
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
2.16 xG 2.44
38% Ball Possession 62%
14 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 10
232 Passes 378
76% Pass Accuracy 81%
25 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 36
2 Yellow Cards 3
02.09.2023 Hapoel Haifa Hapoel Haifa 2-2 HT 0-1 Maccabi Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva İSR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maccabi Petah Tikva
0-3
AWAY Hapoel Haifa
0.54 xG 1.55
63% Ball Possession 37%
8 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
333 Passes 166
80% Pass Accuracy 69%
11 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 11
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Haifa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hapoel Haifa ran out comfortable winners over Maccabi Petah Tikva 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Hapoel Haifa found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Maccabi Petah Tikva had 63% of the ball to Hapoel Haifa's 37%, shots finished 8-9, expected goals 0.54 to 1.55.

What was the final score of Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Haifa?

Maccabi Petah Tikva 0-3 Hapoel Haifa in the Israel - Ligat HaAl on 08/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Haifa?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maccabi Petah Tikva win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Maccabi Petah Tikva 39%, draw 26%, Hapoel Haifa 35%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Maccabi Petah Tikva), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Maccabi Petah Tikva) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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