Lumezzane 0-3 Pro Vercelli — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Jan 2024

📅08/01/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.46
Draw
26%
2.94
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.51
Over 2.5
52%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
2.09
No
50%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.11
2-3 Goals
40%
1.75
4-5 Goals
24%
5.45
6+ Goals
9%
36.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+4.3pp
25%
Draw
31%
-5.1pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+0.7pp
48%
Under 2.5
62%
-14.1pp
52%
Over 2.5
38%
+14.1pp
50%
BTTS Yes
44%
+6.4pp
50%
BTTS No
56%
-6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lumezzane EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Pro Vercelli EU Bookmakers 36%
-6% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
1.47/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.19
+27% / -10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / -3%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lumezzane
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Pro Vercelli
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
04.09.2023 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 4-1 HT 2-1 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
05.01.2014 Pro Vercelli Pro Vercelli 1-0 HT 1-0 Lumezzane Lumezzane İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Lumezzane
0-3
AWAY Pro Vercelli
36% Ball Possession 64%
9 Total Shots 18
2 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Lumezzane vs Pro Vercelli
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pro Vercelli ran out comfortable winners over Lumezzane 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

Our pre-match lean was Lumezzane at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Lumezzane had 36% of the ball to Pro Vercelli's 64%, shots finished 9-18.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Pro Vercelli led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Lumezzane and 2.50 for Pro Vercelli.

What was the final score of Lumezzane vs Pro Vercelli?

Lumezzane 0-3 Pro Vercelli in the Italy - Serie C on 08/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lumezzane vs Pro Vercelli?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lumezzane win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Lumezzane 41%, draw 25%, Pro Vercelli 33%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Lumezzane) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lumezzane) ✓ Over 2.5
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