Padova Calcio 0-5 Mantova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 8 Jan 2024

Padova Calcio
0-5 HT 0-1
Mantova
📅08/01/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2023/2024

Padova Calcio vs Mantova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.05
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
34%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.03
No
51%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.34
2-3 Goals
42%
1.72
4-5 Goals
21%
4.71
6+ Goals
9%
27.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
16%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
45%
-8.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.1pp
34%
Away Win
27%
+6.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.0pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.0pp
49%
BTTS Yes
45%
+4.0pp
51%
BTTS No
55%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Padova Calcio v Mantova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Padova Calcio EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Mantova EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +10%
1.29/0.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.50
-5% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
323 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.8

Padova Calcio vs Mantova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Padova Calcio
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Mantova
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
04.09.2023 Mantova Mantova 1-1 HT 1-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
22.04.2023 Mantova Mantova 1-3 HT 1-1 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
17.12.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-1 HT 1-1 Mantova Mantova İTC
16.03.2022 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio 1-0 HT 0-0 Mantova Mantova İTC
07.11.2021 Mantova Mantova 1-1 HT 0-0 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC
04.02.2021 Mantova Mantova 0-6 HT 0-2 Padova Calcio Padova Calcio İTC

Padova Calcio 0-5 Mantova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Padova Calcio
0-5
AWAY Mantova
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 8
7 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Padova Calcio vs Mantova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mantova swept aside Padova Calcio 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Mantova found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Padova Calcio had 53% of the ball to Mantova's 47%, shots finished 12-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Padova Calcio had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Padova Calcio and 0.67 for Mantova.

What was the final score of Padova Calcio vs Mantova?

Padova Calcio 0-5 Mantova in the Italy - Serie C on 08/01/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Padova Calcio vs Mantova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Padova Calcio win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Padova Calcio 36%, draw 30%, Mantova 34%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Padova Calcio), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Padova Calcio) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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