Milan U20 1-1 Genoa U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup Primavera, 8 Jan 2025

📅08/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.76
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
19%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.63
No
48%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
18%
X/2
5%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
9%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
52%
+5.3pp
24%
Draw
24%
-0.0pp
19%
Away Win
24%
-5.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
57%
-5.2pp
48%
BTTS No
43%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Milan U20 EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Genoa U20 EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
370 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Milan U20
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Genoa U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
4 Total Shots 22
1 Shots on Target 13
3 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 1
31.08.2024 Genoa U20 Genoa U20 3-1 HT 1-1 Milan U20 Milan U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Milan U20
1-1
AWAY Genoa U20
56% Ball Possession 44%
5 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Milan U20 vs Genoa U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Milan U20 and Genoa U20 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Milan U20 at 58% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Milan U20 had 56% of the ball to Genoa U20's 44%, shots finished 5-9.

What was the final score of Milan U20 vs Genoa U20?

Milan U20 1-1 Genoa U20 in the Italy - Cup Primavera on 08/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Milan U20 vs Genoa U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Milan U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Milan U20 58%, draw 24%, Genoa U20 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Milan U20), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Milan U20) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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