Fiorentina U20 1-0 Monza U20 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Cup Primavera, 8 Jan 2025

📅08/01/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.53
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
Over 2.5
54%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.55
No
54%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
24%
X/2
5%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
61%
-5.8pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.5pp
22%
Away Win
19%
+3.3pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.8pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+14.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fiorentina U20 EU Bookmakers 65%
Head to Head
AWAY Monza U20 EU Bookmakers 22%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
406 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fiorentina U20
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Monza U20
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
64% Ball Possession 36%
28 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 3
25.11.2024 Monza U20 Monza U20 0-1 HT 0-0 Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20 İTAPŞ1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Fiorentina U20
1-0
AWAY Monza U20
66% Ball Possession 34%
28 Total Shots 3
15 Shots on Target 2
13 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Fiorentina U20 vs Monza U20
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fiorentina U20 squeezed past Monza U20 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Fiorentina U20 as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Fiorentina U20 had 66% of the ball to Monza U20's 34%, shots finished 28-3.

What was the final score of Fiorentina U20 vs Monza U20?

Fiorentina U20 1-0 Monza U20 in the Italy - Cup Primavera on 08/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fiorentina U20 vs Monza U20?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fiorentina U20 win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Fiorentina U20 55%, draw 23%, Monza U20 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Fiorentina U20), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Fiorentina U20) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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