Brisbane Roar (K) 2-0 Melbourne Victory (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - W-League, 8 Jan 2025

Brisbane Roar (K)
2-0 HT 2-0
Melbourne Victory (K)
📅08/01/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
Australia - W-League – 2024/2025

Brisbane Roar (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.38
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
37%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.15
Over 2.5
50%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.55
No
45%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
17%
X/X
18%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
38%
-6.1pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.6pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+0.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
43%
+7.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
57%
-7.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
45%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Brisbane Roar (K) v Melbourne Victory (K) — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Brisbane Roar (K) EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K) EU Bookmakers 40%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +23% / +23%
1.34/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.76
-31% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
306 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 80%
30.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
17.3 Crosses 13.5
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.0

Brisbane Roar (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
2W-1D-2L
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
1.80 Avg Goals (FT) 1.80
1.65 xG 1.53
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
291 Passes 252
73% Pass Accuracy 69%
27 Box Touches 19
19 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
03.02.2024 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 1-2 HT 1-1 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
21.12.2019 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) 0-0 HT 0-0 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) AVUSTW
21.11.2019 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 2-3 HT 1-2 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
16.12.2018 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 4-3 HT 1-1 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW
05.01.2018 Brisbane Roar (K) Brisbane Roar (K) 2-1 HT 0-1 Melbourne Victory (K) Melbourne Victory (K) AVUSTW

Brisbane Roar (K) 2-0 Melbourne Victory (K) — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Brisbane Roar (K)
2-0
AWAY Melbourne Victory (K)
3.01 xG 0.58
54% Ball Possession 46%
23 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 3
12 Corners 2
282 Passes 232
76% Pass Accuracy 71%
32 Box Touches 16
32 Crosses 14
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Brisbane Roar (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Brisbane Roar (K) beat Melbourne Victory (K) 2-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 31% / 37%) promised a tight game; Brisbane Roar (K) found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — both teams to score (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Brisbane Roar (K) had 54% of the ball to Melbourne Victory (K)'s 46%, shots finished 23-10, expected goals 3.01 to 0.58.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.80 goals for Brisbane Roar (K) and 1.80 for Melbourne Victory (K).

What was the final score of Brisbane Roar (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Brisbane Roar (K) 2-0 Melbourne Victory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 08/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Brisbane Roar (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Victory (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar (K) 32%, draw 31%, Melbourne Victory (K) 37%. The final score 2-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne Victory (K)) ✗ BTTS Yes
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8 Jan 2025
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