Brisbane Roar (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Brisbane Roar (K) v Melbourne Victory (K) — Team-Based Signals
Brisbane Roar (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Brisbane Roar (K) 1-2 Melbourne Victory (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Melbourne Victory (K) edged past Brisbane Roar (K) 2-1 on the road. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 26% / 34% — and on the day Melbourne Victory (K) made the difference. The goals call finished the job: over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (58%) landed.
On the day, Melbourne Victory (K) saw more of the ball, 54% to 46%, shots finished 15-20, expected goals 1.82 to 1.91.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Brisbane Roar (K) had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.00 a game for Brisbane Roar (K) against 1.75 for Melbourne Victory (K).
Brisbane Roar (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Result & Final Score
Brisbane Roar (K) 1 - 2 Melbourne Victory (K) in the Australia - W-League on 03/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Brisbane Roar (K) vs Melbourne Victory (K) Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Brisbane Roar (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Brisbane Roar (K) 40%, draw 26%, Melbourne Victory (K) 34%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Brisbane Roar (K)) went the other way.